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The New York Climate and Health Project (NYCHP) is funded by the U.S. EPA, STAR program and assesses the impacts of land use/land cover change and potential climate change on air quality and public health in the New York metropolitan area. The 31-county region has a population of 21.5 million (2000) and includes New York City and portions of the states of Connecticut, New Jersey and New York.

 


 

The project utilizes a set of models and a cascade of their results. One set of model results will be utilized as the input for the next set of models and so forth.

 

 

The research objectives of our group were to:

  1. Define the projected conversion probabilities and the amount of rural-to-urban land use change for the region, as derived by the Urban Growth Model and Land Cover Deltatron Model for the years 2020 and 2050.
  2. Down-scale the IPCC SRES A2 and B2 scenarios to a narrative that could be translated into alternative growth projections.
  3. Create two alternative future growth scenarios: A2 scenario - associated with more rapid land conversion than in initial projections, and a B2 scenario - associated with less rapid land conversion than in initial projections.

Website content and design by Charles Oliveri (charles.oliveri@hunter.cuny.edu)

Last update: Feb 25, 2004